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Advanced · Lesson 4 of 5Hedging with futures
Producers and consumers use futures to lock in prices. A wheat farmer sells futures before harvest to fix the selling price; a bakery buys them to fix its cost. An airline may hedge fuel. A fund manager can sell SPI 200 futures to reduce market exposure quickly without selling shares.
The number of contracts for a share portfolio hedge is roughly: (portfolio value x portfolio beta) / (futures price x contract multiplier). A perfect hedge is rare because the asset being hedged and the contract differ (basis risk).
Hedging reduces risk; it does not create profit. A hedged farmer misses out if prices soar, in exchange for certainty.
Formula
Contracts = (Portfolio value x β) / (Futures price x Multiplier)
Key takeaways
- Hedgers lock in prices to reduce uncertainty.
- Contracts = (Value x Beta) / (Futures price x Multiplier).
- Basis risk means hedges are rarely perfect.
Check your understanding
1. A wheat farmer worried about falling prices should...
- Buy wheat futures
- Sell wheat futures
- Buy call options on gold
- Do nothing
Show the answer
Sell wheat futures. Selling futures locks in the selling price.
2. What is basis risk?
- The risk the exchange closes
- The risk the hedge and the hedged asset do not move together exactly
- Interest rate risk
- Tax risk
Show the answer
The risk the hedge and the hedged asset do not move together exactly. Differences between the asset and contract leave residual risk.
Go deeper
- Wikipedia: Hedge (finance)
- YouTube videos: hedging with futures explained example
- Investopedia: hedging futures
- Wikipedia: Basis risk
- CME Group education: hedging with futures
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